WeatherDuck
Weather Duck
:Product: Geomagnetic Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 16 2205 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
NOAA Ap Index Forecast
Observed Ap 15 Feb 026
Estimated Ap 16 Feb 036
Predicted Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb 028-010-010
NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Feb-19 Feb
Active 40/45/20
Minor storm 25/25/05
Moderate storm 10/05/01
Strong-Extreme storm 01/01/01
NOAA Kp index forecast 17 Feb - 19 Feb
Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19
00-03UT 5.67 2.67 2.67
03-06UT 5.00 2.67 3.33
06-09UT 4.67 2.67 2.00
09-12UT 4.00 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 3.00 2.00 1.67
15-18UT 2.67 0.67 2.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.33
21-00UT 2.67 3.00 2.67
| Dates | Shower |
|---|---|
|
Active: 28 Dec–12 Jan Peak: 4 Jan |
Quadrantids
120/hr Fast blue-white meteors. |
|
Active: 16–25 Apr Peak: 22 Apr |
Lyrids
18/hr Quick meteors, sometimes glowing trains. |
|
Active: 19 Apr–28 May Peak: 6 May |
Eta Aquariids
40/hr Best before dawn; tied to Halley’s Comet. |
|
Active: 3 Jul–15 Aug Peak: 30 Jul |
Alpha Capricornids
5/hr Slow golden fireballs. |
|
Active: 12 Jul–23 Aug Peak: 30 Jul |
Southern Delta Aquariids
25/hr Steady faint–moderate meteors. |
|
Active: 17 Jul–24 Aug Peak: 13 Aug |
Perseids
150/hr One of the best — bright, long streaks. |
|
Active: 6–10 Oct Peak: 9 Oct |
Draconids
10/hr Gentle but can surprise with bursts. |
|
Active: 2 Oct–7 Nov Peak: 21 Oct |
Orionids
15/hr Fast crisp meteors from Halley’s Comet. |
|
Active: S: 10 Sep–20 Nov Active: N: 20 Oct–10 Dec Peak: S: 10 Oct • N: 12 Nov |
Taurids
5/hr Slow bright meteors; known for fireballs. |
|
Active: 6–30 Nov Peak: 18 Nov |
Leonids
15/hr Fast crisp trails. |
|
Active: 4–20 Dec Peak: 14 Dec |
Geminids
120/hr Vivid, bright, dependable. |
|
Active: 17–26 Dec Peak: 22 Dec |
Ursids
10/hr Quiet winter shower. |