WEATHERDUCK

Forecast check ·

Cadair Idris cloud inversion: 9 July 2026

The quick answer

Yes, the forecast covered Cadair Idris ahead of the morning in the photos. It held over the ridge in 11 of 12 updates, with one wobble along the way.

Barry Mcgauty’s photos from Tyrrau Mawr show a sharp cloud deck below the ridge and blue sky above. This was part of a much bigger morning across Eryri, with sightings further north too.

The day beforeSaved Wed 8 Jul

Very likelyMap for 05:00

Archived WeatherDuck map showing a Very likely cloud inversion forecast across southern Eryri and mid Wales for 05:00 on 9 July 2026.
Archived WeatherDuck forecast saved on 8 July 2026, showing a Very likely signal across southern Eryri and mid Wales for 05:00 on 9 July.
Forecast area
Southern Eryri and mid Wales
Tyrrau Mawr on Cadair Idris
First forecast
8 Jul, 07:05 BST
First useful saved forecast
Time of event
9 Jul, around dawn
Forecast window: 04:00 to 07:00 BST
Amount of notice
About 21 hours
Before the 04:00 forecast window

What we forecast

The first useful forecast was Very likely with medium confidence. It initially favoured 02:00 to 05:00, then shifted to 04:00 to 07:00 as the day got closer.

What matters to me here is that the area kept coming back over the ridge. One update weakened, but the other eleven kept the opportunity there. That is more useful than picking one good-looking map afterwards.

Above Barmouth and the Mawddach estuary

Tyrrau Mawr sits at the western end of the Cadair Idris massif. Barry’s account describes six and a half hours on the hill, with the inversion still part of the views over the estuary.

There were also photographs from Llyn Dywarchen and Yr Wyddfa that morning. A 06:40 satellite image supported the wider band of low cloud along western Britain.

Barry Mcgauty’s original Tyrrau Mawr photographs.

So, did we get it right?

I’d count this as a good result for the area and dawn window. The cloud sea carried on beyond that window, so the viewing opportunity was not limited to those three hours.

The cloud-height estimate moved between updates. I’m keeping that separate from what the photos actually show: higher ground above cloud, without a measured cloud-top height.

Joss