WEATHERDUCK

Forecast check ·

Yr Wyddfa cloud inversion: 22 September 2026

The quick answer

Yes, the forecast picked out the right area and morning. But the cloud sea lasted well beyond the window we gave it.

The webcam showed Yr Wyddfa clear above the cloud at 08:06. By 10:54 it was still there. That is the bit I want to get better at: spotting when a good morning is going to keep going.

First useful forecastSaved Sun 20 Sep, 21:04 BST

LikelyMap for 07:00

Archived WeatherDuck map showing a Likely cloud inversion area over Eryri for 07:00 on 22 September 2026, saved on 20 September.
Archived WeatherDuck forecast saved on 20 September 2026 at 21:04 BST, about 31 hours ahead of the dawn window, showing a Likely area over Eryri for 07:00 on 22 September. The purple dot marks the review point on Yr Wyddfa.
Forecast area
Eryri and mid Wales
Yr Wyddfa, above Llanberis
First forecast
20 Sep, 21:04 BST
First useful saved forecast
Time of event
22 Sep, morning
Webcam frames at 08:06 and 10:54 BST
Amount of notice
About 31 hours
Before the 04:00 forecast window

What we forecast

The first useful forecast covered Yr Wyddfa on Sunday evening, with Tuesday dawn at Likely. It strengthened to Very likely the night before, then settled back to Likely in the three updates before dawn.

The area held over the summit in 13 of 17 updates. Four weakened on Monday afternoon and evening, so it was not a completely steady run. An earlier signal around 51 hours ahead fell away and is not counted here.

Still above the cloud later that morning

The webcam frames and Snowdon Mountain Railway’s summit photo show why one forecast end time does not tell the whole story. The view from Hafod Eryri was pretty special.

Webcam images: DataCymru Ltd, snowdon.webcam, CC BY 4.0. Thanks to Snowdon Mountain Railway for permission to use the summit photo. Their reel from the morning.

So, did we get it right?

I’d call the area and dawn timing a good result. The forecast window was 04:00 to 08:00, though, and the webcam still showed the summit clear at 10:54. We ended the opportunity too early.

These maps were redrawn from saved forecasts using the same forecast method. They support the wider area around Yr Wyddfa, not identical conditions on every nearby hill. The photos also cannot give us a measured cloud height.

Joss